Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2023-10-28 20:54:24 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

It is not currently possible to predict earthquakes like this http://www.seismo.ethz.ch/en/knowledge/snapshots/earthquake-prophets/ https://www.egu.eu/sm/can-we-predict-earthquakes/ https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20230213-the-uncertain-science-of-predicting-earthquakes Organizations that scientifically evaluate forecasts have yet to receive any method that passes basic statistical tests https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards/national-earthquake-prediction-evaluation-council-nepec https://cseptesting.org/ Supposed predictions are a common online scam https://www.wired.com/2012/04/the-fraudulent-business-of-earthquake-and-eruption-prediction/ https://www.vice.com/en/article/kz4jyz/earthquake-conspiracy-theorists-are-wreaking-havoc-during-emergencies

Written by B8994860E462F1A94C71F3FF7083F5A7415D66AE65A62452736A54150C709437
Participant Details

Original Tweet

Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1718231873392906560

Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.

All Information

  • ID - 1718370652804022753
  • noteId - 1718370652804022753
  • participantId -
  • noteAuthorParticipantId - B8994860E462F1A94C71F3FF7083F5A7415D66AE65A62452736A54150C709437 Participant Details
  • createdAtMillis - 1698526464069
  • tweetId - 1718231873392906560
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 1
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • It is not currently possible to predict earthquakes like this http://www.seismo.ethz.ch/en/knowledge/snapshots/earthquake-prophets/ https://www.egu.eu/sm/can-we-predict-earthquakes/ https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20230213-the-uncertain-science-of-predicting-earthquakes Organizations that scientifically evaluate forecasts have yet to receive any method that passes basic statistical tests https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards/national-earthquake-prediction-evaluation-council-nepec https://cseptesting.org/ Supposed predictions are a common online scam https://www.wired.com/2012/04/the-fraudulent-business-of-earthquake-and-eruption-prediction/ https://www.vice.com/en/article/kz4jyz/earthquake-conspiracy-theorists-are-wreaking-havoc-during-emergencies

Note Status History

createdAt timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus firstNonNMRStatus timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus currentStatus timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus mostRecentNonNMRStatus participantId
2023-10-28 20:54:24 UTC
(1698526464069)
1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)
2023-10-29 01:53:18 UTC
(1698544398431)
NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS 1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)

Note Ratings

rated at rated by
2023-10-29 00:56:28 -0500 Rating Details
2023-10-28 23:26:09 -0500 Rating Details
2023-10-28 16:28:20 -0500 Rating Details
2023-10-28 15:57:15 -0500 Rating Details
2024-05-03 21:44:22 -0500 Rating Details