Birdwatch Note
2023-10-27 03:57:48 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
確率の計算に使ったデータや，計算方法の出典がありません．つまり全く根拠がない嘘の情報です． 先日も同様に根拠なく98%地震が来ると言って何もなかったばかりですが， https://twitter.com/earthquakejapan/status/1713767416986042635 その後も同様で立て続けに外れています． https://twitter.com/earthquakejapan/status/1715546343848997011 https://twitter.com/earthquakejapan/status/1715179313618645414 https://twitter.com/earthquakejapan/status/1715068630033948705 過去には100%地震が起きると言ったときですら何もありませんでした． https://twitter.com/earthquakejapan/status/1598359845446352896 上記のように毎日のように情報を出したり，本画像のように場所を広範囲にする，地震の規模を書かない，というのは以下の文献にある根拠がないニセ地震予知の典型的な特徴です． http://www.scc.u-tokai.ac.jp/iord/bulletin/files_for_bulletin/010-017_40Orihara.pdf
Written by 9D4E96D5CE55117E60D202B752CCDEBB7533CB601667FD62DAE58FEB055973AA
Participant Details
Original Tweet
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All Information
- ID - 1717752429998199077
- noteId - 1717752429998199077
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 9D4E96D5CE55117E60D202B752CCDEBB7533CB601667FD62DAE58FEB055973AA Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1698379068266
- tweetId - 1717563877016138143
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 0
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- 確率の計算に使ったデータや，計算方法の出典がありません．つまり全く根拠がない嘘の情報です． 先日も同様に根拠なく98%地震が来ると言って何もなかったばかりですが， https://twitter.com/earthquakejapan/status/1713767416986042635 その後も同様で立て続けに外れています． https://twitter.com/earthquakejapan/status/1715546343848997011 https://twitter.com/earthquakejapan/status/1715179313618645414 https://twitter.com/earthquakejapan/status/1715068630033948705 過去には100%地震が起きると言ったときですら何もありませんでした． https://twitter.com/earthquakejapan/status/1598359845446352896 上記のように毎日のように情報を出したり，本画像のように場所を広範囲にする，地震の規模を書かない，というのは以下の文献にある根拠がないニセ地震予知の典型的な特徴です． http://www.scc.u-tokai.ac.jp/iord/bulletin/files_for_bulletin/010-017_40Orihara.pdf
Note Status History
| createdAt | timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus | firstNonNMRStatus | timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus | currentStatus | timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus | mostRecentNonNMRStatus | participantId |
| 2023-10-27 03:57:48 UTC (1698379068266) |
1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC (-1) |
2023-10-29 01:53:18 UTC (1698544398431) |
NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS | 1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC (-1) |
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