Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2023-10-04 03:56:20 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

There is no scientific basis for this or any earthquake prediction: https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities Peer-reviewed research finds this method performs no better than random when scientifically tested: https://seismica.library.mcgill.ca/article/view/528 https://pubs.geoscienceworld.org/ssa/srl/article-abstract/89/2A/577/525827/Do-Large-Magnitude-8-Global-Earthquakes-Occur-on Fact-checks of similar pseudoscience claims from the same person: 2023 https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-earthquake-prediction-262451352553 2018 https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/new-zealand/2018/01/man-s-huge-quake-prediction-is-fearmongering-geonet.html 2017 https://www.snopes.com/news/2017/03/01/dutch-earthquake-enthusiast-claims-to-predict-major-tremor/ 2015 https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/morning-mix/wp/2015/05/28/massive-california-earthquake-predicted-for-today/

Written by 8BBA91C4957E89E3F3E7375E11B946CC2326AC39FC2BFFD5359824DDE642711C
Participant Details

Original Tweet

Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1708782867206094894

Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.

All Information

  • ID - 1709417139256558073
  • noteId - 1709417139256558073
  • participantId -
  • noteAuthorParticipantId - 8BBA91C4957E89E3F3E7375E11B946CC2326AC39FC2BFFD5359824DDE642711C Participant Details
  • createdAtMillis - 1696391780091
  • tweetId - 1708782867206094894
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 1
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • There is no scientific basis for this or any earthquake prediction: https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities Peer-reviewed research finds this method performs no better than random when scientifically tested: https://seismica.library.mcgill.ca/article/view/528 https://pubs.geoscienceworld.org/ssa/srl/article-abstract/89/2A/577/525827/Do-Large-Magnitude-8-Global-Earthquakes-Occur-on Fact-checks of similar pseudoscience claims from the same person: 2023 https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-earthquake-prediction-262451352553 2018 https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/new-zealand/2018/01/man-s-huge-quake-prediction-is-fearmongering-geonet.html 2017 https://www.snopes.com/news/2017/03/01/dutch-earthquake-enthusiast-claims-to-predict-major-tremor/ 2015 https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/morning-mix/wp/2015/05/28/massive-california-earthquake-predicted-for-today/

Note Status History

createdAt timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus firstNonNMRStatus timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus currentStatus timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus mostRecentNonNMRStatus participantId
2023-10-04 03:56:20 UTC
(1696391780091)
1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)
2023-10-05 02:47:39 UTC
(1696474059718)
NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS 1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)

Note Ratings

rated at rated by
2023-10-04 00:40:50 -0500 Rating Details