Birdwatch Note
2023-10-02 22:11:21 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
There is no scientific basis for this or any earthquake prediction. Quakes are always possible in places like California, but specific forecasts perform no better than random when tested. This user has posted similar claims every few days since 2009. Learn more: https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-earthquake-prediction-262451352553
Written by 8BBA91C4957E89E3F3E7375E11B946CC2326AC39FC2BFFD5359824DDE642711C
Participant Details
Original Tweet
Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1708303404018102456
Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.
All Information
- ID - 1708967934989844812
- noteId - 1708967934989844812
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 8BBA91C4957E89E3F3E7375E11B946CC2326AC39FC2BFFD5359824DDE642711C Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1696284681447
- tweetId - 1708303404018102456
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 1
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- There is no scientific basis for this or any earthquake prediction. Quakes are always possible in places like California, but specific forecasts perform no better than random when tested. This user has posted similar claims every few days since 2009. Learn more: https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-earthquake-prediction-262451352553
Note Status History
| createdAt | timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus | firstNonNMRStatus | timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus | currentStatus | timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus | mostRecentNonNMRStatus | participantId |
| 2023-10-02 22:11:21 UTC (1696284681447) |
1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC (-1) |
2023-10-03 02:49:27 UTC (1696301367088) |
NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS | 1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC (-1) |