Birdwatch Note
2023-05-15 18:36:25 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction. Proposed precursors have high rates of false positives/negatives. Scientific organization that rigorously test predictions (NEPEC, CSEP) have yet to see evidence of utility from such methods. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-earthquake-prediction-262451352553 NEPEC https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards/national-earthquake-prediction-evaluation-council-nepec CSEP https://www.scec.org/research/csep
Written by AFC5C07D009FE4C54C28253564AB95C4ACD4F3E1BB017002587865A55AE6ACDE
Participant Details
Original Tweet
Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1658114479610011649
Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.
All Information
- ID - 1658179544682217474
- noteId - 1658179544682217474
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - AFC5C07D009FE4C54C28253564AB95C4ACD4F3E1BB017002587865A55AE6ACDE Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1684175785596
- tweetId - 1658114479610011649
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 0
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 0
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction. Proposed precursors have high rates of false positives/negatives. Scientific organization that rigorously test predictions (NEPEC, CSEP) have yet to see evidence of utility from such methods. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-earthquake-prediction-262451352553 NEPEC https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards/national-earthquake-prediction-evaluation-council-nepec CSEP https://www.scec.org/research/csep
Note Status History
| createdAt | timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus | firstNonNMRStatus | timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus | currentStatus | timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus | mostRecentNonNMRStatus | participantId |
| 2023-05-15 18:36:25 UTC (1684175785596) |
1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC (-1) |
2023-05-31 02:39:52 UTC (1685500792003) |
NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS | 1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC (-1) |
|||
| 2023-05-15 18:36:25 UTC (1684175785596) |
1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC (-1) |
2023-05-16 02:14:27 UTC (1684203267213) |
NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS | 1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC (-1) |
Note Ratings
| rated at | rated by | |
| 2023-05-15 17:26:49 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-05-15 16:25:02 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-05-15 15:49:56 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-05-16 09:28:12 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-05-15 23:03:26 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-05-17 14:42:05 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-05-15 15:49:56 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-05-16 09:28:12 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-05-15 17:26:49 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-05-15 16:25:02 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-05-15 23:03:26 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-05-17 14:42:05 -0500 | Rating Details |