Birdwatch Note
2023-05-11 13:21:59 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction. There is always a chance for quakes in areas with active faults, but specific forecasts perform no better than random when tested. The "predicted" areas are some of the world's most seismically active regions. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards/earthquake-magnitude-energy-release-and-shaking-intensity
Written by 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E
Participant Details
Original Tweet
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All Information
- ID - 1656650863035969540
- noteId - 1656650863035969540
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1683811319491
- tweetId - 1656337116626862082
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 1
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction. There is always a chance for quakes in areas with active faults, but specific forecasts perform no better than random when tested. The "predicted" areas are some of the world's most seismically active regions. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards/earthquake-magnitude-energy-release-and-shaking-intensity
Note Status History
| createdAt | timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus | firstNonNMRStatus | timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus | currentStatus | timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus | mostRecentNonNMRStatus | participantId |
| 2023-05-11 13:21:59 UTC (1683811319491) |
1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC (-1) |
2023-05-12 02:39:24 UTC (1683859164805) |
NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS | 1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC (-1) |
Note Ratings
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| 2023-05-11 09:48:25 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-05-11 11:11:48 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-05-11 10:14:01 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-05-11 09:04:14 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-05-11 08:30:10 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-05-11 10:35:34 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-05-11 11:30:37 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-05-11 09:00:58 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-05-11 08:59:50 -0500 | Rating Details |