Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2023-05-11 13:14:48 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

There is no scientific basis for this or any earthquake prediction. Quakes are always possible in places like California, but specific forecasts perform no better than random when tested. This user has posted similar claims every few days since 2009. Learn more: https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-earthquake-prediction-262451352553

Written by 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E
Participant Details

Original Tweet

Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1656459096432734218

Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.

All Information

  • ID - 1656649053680336897
  • noteId - 1656649053680336897
  • participantId -
  • noteAuthorParticipantId - 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E Participant Details
  • createdAtMillis - 1683810888106
  • tweetId - 1656459096432734218
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 1
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • There is no scientific basis for this or any earthquake prediction. Quakes are always possible in places like California, but specific forecasts perform no better than random when tested. This user has posted similar claims every few days since 2009. Learn more: https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-earthquake-prediction-262451352553

Note Status History

createdAt timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus firstNonNMRStatus timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus currentStatus timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus mostRecentNonNMRStatus participantId
2023-05-11 13:14:48 UTC
(1683810888106)
1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)
2023-05-12 02:39:24 UTC
(1683859164805)
NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS 1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)

Note Ratings

rated at rated by
2023-05-11 13:12:44 -0500 Rating Details
2023-05-15 05:02:53 -0500 Rating Details
2023-05-16 05:18:16 -0500 Rating Details
2023-05-16 05:18:16 -0500 Rating Details
2023-05-11 13:12:44 -0500 Rating Details
2023-05-15 05:02:53 -0500 Rating Details
2023-06-11 13:38:22 -0500 Rating Details