Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2023-04-24 23:47:00 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction. There is always a chance for quakes in areas with active faults, but specific forecasts perform no better than random when tested. The "predicted" areas are some of the world's most seismically active regions. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards/earthquake-magnitude-energy-release-and-shaking-intensity

Written by 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E
Participant Details

Original Tweet

Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1650598801093304320

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All Information

  • ID - 1650647559717949440
  • noteId - 1650647559717949440
  • participantId -
  • noteAuthorParticipantId - 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E Participant Details
  • createdAtMillis - 1682380020443
  • tweetId - 1650598801093304320
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 1
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • There is no scientific basis for earthquake prediction. There is always a chance for quakes in areas with active faults, but specific forecasts perform no better than random when tested. The "predicted" areas are some of the world's most seismically active regions. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards/earthquake-magnitude-energy-release-and-shaking-intensity

Note Status History

createdAt timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus firstNonNMRStatus timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus currentStatus timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus mostRecentNonNMRStatus participantId
2023-04-24 23:47:00 UTC
(1682380020443)
1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)
2023-05-06 02:42:24 UTC
(1683340944665)
NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS 1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)

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