Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2023-03-30 15:45:55 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

This paper demonstrates no short-term predictive utility, as the authors were clear about at the time, and the results were superseded by a larger study two years later that found no correlation. https://pubs.geoscienceworld.org/ssa/srl/article-abstract/89/2A/577/525827/Do-Large-Magnitude-8-Global-Earthquakes-Occur-on Fact-checks of user's pseudoscience claims about earthquakes https://www.npr.org/2023/02/07/1154893886/earthquake-prediction-turkey-usgs https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-earthquake-prediction-262451352553 https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/morning-mix/wp/2015/05/28/massive-california-earthquake-predicted-for-today/ https://slate.com/technology/2015/05/planetary-alignment-no-it-won-t-cause-an-earthquake.html https://gizmodo.com/will-a-planetary-alignment-cause-a-9-8-earthquake-this-1706933982 https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/new-zealand/2018/01/man-s-huge-quake-prediction-is-fearmongering-geonet.html https://twitter.com/bwcphd/status/1633897308499902464 https://twitter.com/PierreSeismo/status/1634593771731189760 https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.11802

Written by 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E
Participant Details

Original Tweet

Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1641348402817507328

Please note, though, that you may need to have your own Twitter account to access that page. I am currently exploring options for archiving Tweet data in a post-API context.

All Information

  • ID - 1641466793155006464
  • noteId - 1641466793155006464
  • participantId -
  • noteAuthorParticipantId - 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E Participant Details
  • createdAtMillis - 1680191155124
  • tweetId - 1641348402817507328
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 1
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • This paper demonstrates no short-term predictive utility, as the authors were clear about at the time, and the results were superseded by a larger study two years later that found no correlation. https://pubs.geoscienceworld.org/ssa/srl/article-abstract/89/2A/577/525827/Do-Large-Magnitude-8-Global-Earthquakes-Occur-on Fact-checks of user's pseudoscience claims about earthquakes https://www.npr.org/2023/02/07/1154893886/earthquake-prediction-turkey-usgs https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-earthquake-prediction-262451352553 https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/morning-mix/wp/2015/05/28/massive-california-earthquake-predicted-for-today/ https://slate.com/technology/2015/05/planetary-alignment-no-it-won-t-cause-an-earthquake.html https://gizmodo.com/will-a-planetary-alignment-cause-a-9-8-earthquake-this-1706933982 https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/new-zealand/2018/01/man-s-huge-quake-prediction-is-fearmongering-geonet.html https://twitter.com/bwcphd/status/1633897308499902464 https://twitter.com/PierreSeismo/status/1634593771731189760 https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.11802

Note Status History

createdAt timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus firstNonNMRStatus timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus currentStatus timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus mostRecentNonNMRStatus participantId
2023-03-30 15:45:55 UTC
(1680191155124)
1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)
2023-03-31 02:42:32 UTC
(1680230552362)
NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS 1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC
(-1)

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