Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2023-03-20 13:08:41 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

There are decades of research demonstrating that earthquake predictions, including from planetary geometry, perform no better than background probabilities. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://pubs.geoscienceworld.org/ssa/srl/article/89/2A/577/525827/Do-Large-Magnitude-8-Global-Earthquakes-Occur-on https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-position-moon-or-planets-affect-seismicity-are-there-more-earthquakes-morningin-eveningat Fact-checks of user's pseudoscience claims: https://www.npr.org/2023/02/07/1154893886/earthquake-prediction-turkey-usgs https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://twitter.com/bwcphd/status/1633897308499902464 https://twitter.com/PierreSeismo/status/1634593771731189760

Written by 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E
Participant Details

All Information

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• noteId - 1637803347209011201
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• noteAuthorParticipantId - 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E Participant Details
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• classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
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• summary
• There are decades of research demonstrating that earthquake predictions, including from planetary geometry, perform no better than background probabilities. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://pubs.geoscienceworld.org/ssa/srl/article/89/2A/577/525827/Do-Large-Magnitude-8-Global-Earthquakes-Occur-on https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-position-moon-or-planets-affect-seismicity-are-there-more-earthquakes-morningin-eveningat Fact-checks of user's pseudoscience claims: https://www.npr.org/2023/02/07/1154893886/earthquake-prediction-turkey-usgs https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://twitter.com/bwcphd/status/1633897308499902464 https://twitter.com/PierreSeismo/status/1634593771731189760