Birdwatch Archive

Birdwatch Note

2023-03-19 02:26:21 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING

Claims of earthquake prediction from planetary alignment have been disproven. There is always a chance for quakes in areas with active faults, but specific forecasts perform no better than random when tested. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-position-moon-or-planets-affect-seismicity-are-there-more-earthquakes-morningin-eveningat Fact-checks of user's pseudoscience claims: https://www.npr.org/2023/02/07/1154893886/earthquake-prediction-turkey-usgs https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://twitter.com/bwcphd/status/1633897308499902464 https://twitter.com/PierreSeismo/status/1634593771731189760

Written by 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E
Participant Details

Original Tweet

Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1637102498954596353

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All Information

  • ID - 1637279310678507520
  • noteId - 1637279310678507520
  • participantId -
  • noteAuthorParticipantId - 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E Participant Details
  • createdAtMillis - 1679192781502
  • tweetId - 1637102498954596353
  • classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
  • believable -
  • harmful -
  • validationDifficulty -
  • misleadingOther - 0
  • misleadingFactualError - 1
  • misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
  • misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
  • misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
  • misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
  • misleadingSatire - 0
  • notMisleadingOther - 0
  • notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
  • notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
  • notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
  • notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
  • trustworthySources - 1
  • summary
    • Claims of earthquake prediction from planetary alignment have been disproven. There is always a chance for quakes in areas with active faults, but specific forecasts perform no better than random when tested. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-position-moon-or-planets-affect-seismicity-are-there-more-earthquakes-morningin-eveningat Fact-checks of user's pseudoscience claims: https://www.npr.org/2023/02/07/1154893886/earthquake-prediction-turkey-usgs https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://twitter.com/bwcphd/status/1633897308499902464 https://twitter.com/PierreSeismo/status/1634593771731189760

Note Status History

createdAt timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus firstNonNMRStatus timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus currentStatus timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus mostRecentNonNMRStatus participantId
2023-03-19 02:26:21 UTC
(1679192781502)
2023-03-19 22:40:59 UTC
(1679265659186)
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL 2023-03-20 03:10:48 UTC
(1679281848093)
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL 2023-03-19 22:40:59 UTC
(1679265659186)
CURRENTLY_RATED_HELPFUL

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