Birdwatch Note
2023-03-14 20:22:32 UTC - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
Claims of earthquake prediction from planetary alignment have been disproven. There is always a chance for quakes in areas with active faults, but specific forecasts perform no better than random when tested. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-position-moon-or-planets-affect-seismicity-are-there-more-earthquakes-morningin-eveningat User's history of similar pseudoscience claims: https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://www.npr.org/2023/02/07/1154893886/earthquake-prediction-turkey-usgs
Written by 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E
Participant Details
Original Tweet
Tweet embedding is no longer reliably available, due to the platform's instability (in terms of both technology and policy). If the Tweet still exists, you can view it here: https://twitter.com/foo_bar/status/1634886305351081995
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All Information
- ID - 1635738199967367202
- noteId - 1635738199967367202
- participantId -
- noteAuthorParticipantId - 114D3959B7A1FAF013A9773725D3AC9653F490590C8B76CB7CE232B010DE900E Participant Details
- createdAtMillis - 1678825352077
- tweetId - 1634886305351081995
- classification - MISINFORMED_OR_POTENTIALLY_MISLEADING
- believable -
- harmful -
- validationDifficulty -
- misleadingOther - 0
- misleadingFactualError - 1
- misleadingManipulatedMedia - 0
- misleadingOutdatedInformation - 0
- misleadingMissingImportantContext - 1
- misleadingUnverifiedClaimAsFact - 1
- misleadingSatire - 0
- notMisleadingOther - 0
- notMisleadingFactuallyCorrect - 0
- notMisleadingOutdatedButNotWhenWritten - 0
- notMisleadingClearlySatire - 0
- notMisleadingPersonalOpinion - 0
- trustworthySources - 1
- summary
- Claims of earthquake prediction from planetary alignment have been disproven. There is always a chance for quakes in areas with active faults, but specific forecasts perform no better than random when tested. https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-you-predict-earthquakes https://pnsn.org/outreach/faq/earthquake-prediction https://scienceexchange.caltech.edu/topics/earthquakes/earthquakes-probabilities https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/predicting-next-big-earthquake/ https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-00685-y https://www.usgs.gov/faqs/can-position-moon-or-planets-affect-seismicity-are-there-more-earthquakes-morningin-eveningat User's history of similar pseudoscience claims: https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/can-you-predict-an-earthquake/ https://www.npr.org/2023/02/07/1154893886/earthquake-prediction-turkey-usgs
Note Status History
| createdAt | timestampMillisOfFirstNonNMRStatus | firstNonNMRStatus | timestampMillisOfCurrentStatus | currentStatus | timestampMillisOfLatestNonNMRStatus | mostRecentNonNMRStatus | participantId |
| 2023-03-14 20:22:32 UTC (1678825352077) |
1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC (-1) |
2023-03-15 05:09:59 UTC (1678856999448) |
NEEDS_MORE_RATINGS | 1969-12-31 23:59:59 UTC (-1) |
Note Ratings
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| 2023-03-14 21:25:35 -0500 | Rating Details | |
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| 2023-03-15 09:22:47 -0500 | Rating Details | |
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| 2023-03-15 07:43:25 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-03-14 16:27:56 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-05-17 06:53:11 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-03-20 03:33:54 -0500 | Rating Details | |
| 2023-03-14 21:25:35 -0500 | Rating Details |