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2024-10-07 21:33:00 UTC - NOT_HELPFUL

Rated by Participant: 5DC30ADE684A920AA00B91D1912CB2E3E5185CA8BDAE62F000309452D0464A1B
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Original Note:

As of October 7th, Nate Silver’s forecast gives Kamala Harris a 2.6% chance of winning exactly 319 electoral votes, not a 22% chance. See the plots labeled “Every Electoral College outcome in our simulations.” https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model?utm_campaign=posts-open-in-app&triedRedirect=true

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