Birdwatch Note Rating
2024-10-04 11:08:25 UTC - HELPFUL
Rated by Participant: D873D35F96EF96817BBCF7F1C94935989DD84B81259E16C2F2A23C7BDCC8A10D
Participant Details
Original Note:
Misleading. The depicted Silver Bulletin Electoral College Win probabilities of Trump (68.4%) and Harris (30.8%) are false. As of 3rd Oct 2024, the Silver Bulletin probability for a Harris EC Win is 57%, which also implies that the probability of a Trump Win won't exceed 43%. https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
All Note Details